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2019 Oscar Predictions, Secondary Films

By: Henry J. Fromage –

Today we’ll handle the films that have their own special categories, like documentaries, foreign language, and animated films.

Best Documentary Feature

  1. Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
  2. Free Solo
  3. Three Identical Strangers
  4. Minding the Gap
  5. RBG

It would be awfully hard to snub Won’t You Be My Neighbor? and the next two are among the highest grossing and most critically well-received documentaries of the year and feel fairly safe.  After that, so many could get in, from the apparently fairly meh but certainly politically relevant (and financially successful) RBG to critical faves like Hale County This Morning This Evening, Shirkers, Of Fathers and Sons, and Crime + Punishment.

 

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Roma (Mexico)
  2. Cold War (Poland)
  3. Burning (South Korea)
  4. The Guilty (Denmark)
  5. Shoplifters (Japan)

Could Roma win both Foreign Language Film and Best Picture?  Would anyone want it to?  Some odd math for voters this year, but it should have a nom handily in the bag, as should the next two, critically adored (Top 10 List fodder nearly everywhere) films.  The Guilty is a thriller already on the Hollywood remake list, which is usually a good sign for this category, and it’s hard to ignore the humanist masterpiece that is the Palme D’Or-winning Shoplifters.  Still, Capernaum (Lebanon), Never Look Away (Germany), Ciro Guerra’s (Embrace of the SerpentBirds of Passage (Colombia), and what the hey, Ayka (Kazakhstan) all could well pull off what would only be a mild upset of this group.

 

Best Animated Feature

  1. Incredibles 2
  2. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
  3. Ralph Breaks the Internet
  4. Isle of Dogs
  5. Mirai

It sure seemed like Incredibles 2 had this in the bag until Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse hit like a thunderclap this Christmas (and OMG is it impossible to overhype that gem).  Outside of these two tussling for the crown (but, seriously… Spider-Man in a walk), the next two feel like near locks as well, meaning obligatory GKids pick Mirai and uninspiring studio picks like Early Man and The Grinch fight it out for the last slot. 

 

Best Animated Short

  1. Bao
  2. Bilby
  3. Age of Sail
  4. Weekends
  5. Animal Behaviour

Pixar’s Bao seems like the layup here, but I’ll have to defer to what looks most intriguing from short trailers (real things as it turns out) and the associated independent talent.  I guess we’ll see!

 

Best Live Action Short

  1. Caroline
  2. Fauve
  3. Marguerite
  4. Skin
  5. Chuchotage

Take the above rationale, and remove the one short I did watch from the major studio, and you have my methodology for this flick.

 

Best Documentary Short

  1. My Dead Dad’s Porno Tapes
  2. Black Sheep
  3. Zion
  4. End Game
  5. Period.  End of Sentence.

This category has even fewer indicators than Live Action, which is saying something.  Then again, if there’s a short with subject matter similar to a film in the larger races, there seems to be a tad bit of correlation more often than not.

About Henry J. Fromage

Movieboozer is a humor website and drinking games are intended for entertainment purposes only, please drink responsibly.

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